Illawarra Intimations 20th August 2016
Kembla Grange backs up from last Saturday, again on a good surface, this time with the rail out 3m. Leaders appeared advantaged last week but I have marked the track fair. Solo leaders should again do well while my preference is for high draws and off the rails running.
[12.54pm] #1 EVA LUNA chased with purpose at this course three weeks back, then was scratched to clear the path for stablemate Level Eight last week, who failed to return the favour. She is marked a good thing’s price, and looks it. An exacta with #6 THE DEACON may supply some juice.
[2.44pm] #1 TO BE SURE took on Redzel and lost first-up last prep. This time she resumes at the scene of a brave attempt to make all, against the bias, last start when bested by a subsequent metro winner. She has trialled strongly and looks a “monty”. Exacta players are recommended #5 ALL IN RHYTHM who returns after battling in the strongest 2yo race of the season anywhere won by the Gai-trained Evacuation
The Nightcap:[4.44pm] The Snowden 3yo First Approval has been assessed tightly, but two aspects of his formline demand attention. Firstly, the unconvincing manner of his last-start win when, secondly, he was perfectly ridden by Kembla King Mitchell Bell, who gives way to the stable apprentice today? #9 FRAGONARD has the best jockey (Penza), and a better turn of foot, rendering this 3yo filly the recommended play