Horse Racing in this Country is as traditional and commonplace as is anything else we proudly call “Australian”.

Chances are, if you have found your way onto our Website www.ratings2win.com.au or that of www.racingrant.com  and you are “of a certain age”, you have at least one, probably more people in your family who considered “having a bet” as routine as brushing their teeth, as you grew up.

If, on the other hand you have only been in the workforce for a decade or less, perhaps your interest in Horse Racing stems from the fact that you are attracted to “Sports Betting” and you have seen the countless markets available on “The Races” when you have been betting on your preferred Sporting encounter? If that’s the case and you have no family history regarding Horse Racing, you have done well to have made it this far so stick at it for a few more lines, you were smart enough to get this far, so hang around.

The truth is most gamblers LOSE, why do you think Australia is enticed by advertisements from Bookmaking firms wanting your attention and hard earned cash?

I myself, caught the Horse Racing bug in my early teens and it has given me the ride of my life, but then where I differ from most gamblers who LOSE is that I devote all my working hours, at least twice as long as what the average job entails to ensure that I finish in front.

I now have no choice because I am no different to the vast majority, I have a wife and family to support. Given the reality that I have invested more money to develop the R2W Axis database than many spend buying a luxurious family home and given the reality that it costs a fortune to maintain same each year, I am compelled to succeed because for me, it’s all I want to be involved with. My Master’s Degree can be just that, something to proudly hang on a wall.

Fortunately, somebody smart once said, “Find a job you love and you will never work a day in your life” and that fits snugly when describing me.

Therefore, whilst I could continue here and invite you to compare our product to those of our competitors, I’d prefer to simply invite you to explore our website and that of our strategic alliance partner Racing Rant with an open mind and then unhesitatingly call or email me with as many questions as you care to ask because I am here, as proud as punch with our highly acclaimed Axis database and relish the chance to show it off to genuine, suitable potential clients.

I could boast and quote names of some of the highest profile horse players who I have chosen NOT to be associated with but that would be at the very least bad manners. What I can publicly state is that I have been very flattered to have received approaches from such people who all fortunately understood that because of the vast size of their turnover, I would be creating financial suicide by allowing them access to our methodology because they all know that our mutual source of income comes from betting. That’s why on our website, I mention that a “limited number of licences is available” contact us for availability.

The team has to be smallish and tight but everyone in the team must have made available to them all the “toys” that I have to play with, so as to protect the ongoing success of our select crew, we can do without the “whales” as they are known in “casino speak”.

Most gamblers LOSE because they are looking for a free ride, a pot of gold, a dream come true result and they chase that futile scenario believing in most cases that their luck is about to change.

A chef would not attempt to prepare a dish for the first time without a recipe any more than a motorist would attempt to drive a car without first filling it with petrol. Winning at “The Races” can’t be done without the correct approach either.

Sadly, many people think they can fill out a betting ticket, log onto an account or make a phone call and place a bet with an entitlement to win, just as they are entitled to be paid a wage for a week’s worth of hard work. The obvious difference is that to earn a wage, one has put in the hours.

WINNING on Horse Racing must be treated like any other successful business, winning just doesn’t happen. The people who believe they can “follow this jockey or trainer” that they have a hunch that they are in for a good day, the people who want to back the tips from the bloke next door because he once took out a girl who had a sister who went on a date with a bloke who had a half share in a horse, the people who wish to do no more than buy something from a newsagency that was printed at the very least, one day earlier and expect TO WIN, well perhaps those people, can’t be helped.

However, if you have a sincere desire to make a profit from Horse Racing and perhaps you’ve been disappointed in the past by an involvement with others, please remember that I and the likes of the team at Racing Rant are a walking talking advertisement for the fact that it can be done and has been done for many years. If it hadn’t, I wouldn’t be suggesting to you to peruse our website, I’d be too busy earning a living some other way to keep my family, my business and myself afloat.

I urge you to continue expanding your horizon to the valuable racing knowledge that Marc and his team at Racing Rant provide anyone willing to listen. Our team at R2W has a simple yet concise mission statement:

"To arm our clients with the necessary tools, information, knowledge, education and understanding that enables them to profit from racing on a consistent basis"

And on that basis, I invite you to experience what makes Axis Australia’s best horse racing database and in doing so learn to become a better punter and form analyst. So, open the door to what is a genuine limited opportunity and purchase the special Racing Rant / R2W offer of an Axis Professional starter pack, which includes 2 months’ free subscription as well as 3 years of past data for the special price of $1,997. That’s a saving of $1,188.

I look forward to the opportunity of showcasing our R2W Axis database further to you soon and remember I’m just a phone call or email away.

Cheers and Good Punting

Paul Daily

Click to download and view a free information pack of Ratings2Win Axis Database

In-Depth with Paul Daily (Ratings2Win)

The SEMINAL race is a trusty tool of form students the world over. We’re eternally vigilant for that bountiful formline, known on the track as a “hot race”, that operates as a springboard for horses at their next appearance.

At Beaumont recently, a promising local 3yo, ALL FROM SCRAP, stepped out in a pair of 1150m races a week apart. After two country contests, he recorded his second victory at his provincial debut, making all after safely repelling the challenge of another talented local and co-favourite, Woomera. All From Scrap’s subsequent run was the subject of an earlier post, where he duelled valiantly with the undefeated and archly progressive Art D’Amour.

Enthusiasts would do well to anticipate an ongoing rich vein of good form from the aforementioned Beaumont events.

An early clue lay in the trading on the October 29 race. The Kim Waugh trained Prince Dylan had reappeared at Gosford 16 days prior and disappointed as the $2.50 favourite. At Beaumont, he was shown no respect whatsoever, jumping at upwards of $40 on the exchange. Both contests were labelled Provincial Class 1, but the betting indicated that comparisons were to end there.

As we have observed, All From Scrap was heavily played at his 1150m reprise and lost no admirers. Moreover, Stimuli took his $20 BetFair SP to win handsomely at Taree on Tuesday last, while Bobby Be, well astern at $30 plus, found many fans, only to be beaten on the post at his outing at Beaumont last Sunday.

Meanwhile the Art D’Amour race has provided a lone subsequent performer. Coys backed up 8 days after his 9.5length tailing of the field at $65 to take out a 1300m Class 2 on the same track.

Today’s Beaumont “Hot Form” contestant is the lightly raced 4yo LEAVE YA NUMBA [2.12pm]

Video footage courtesy of RacingNSW

Stakes day at Flemington may have stolen the limelight, but an interesting quirk caught my attention at the fag end of an ultimately intriguing Beaumont card.

The penultimate over the 1300m course was conducted at Benchmark 70 level; Provincial “A” grade. Gary Portelli’s mare Bel Selene brought to the contest four faultless performances since the shades were applied six months prior. Indeed, she had returned from a break with a strong sense of purpose; bravely making all first up at Beaumont before driving her arch nemesis Bonbonniere into the Gosford turf. Plainly her place was “in the vanguard” and regular rider Rachel King was determined to be there. As evidenced by the replay below, jockey King makes her intentions clear, striving for the lead in the early stages. Frenchman Johan Victoire takes up the challenge on Gary Moore’s Classic Uniform. The ensuing duel lacks subtlety, and naturally the winner is sourced elsewhere, with only Classic Uniform retaining his reputation after a bruising encounter.

The nightcap, a shorter event from the 1150m start, was an even more absorbing contest for Class 2 horses. Local, All From Scrap, had debuted provincially seven days prior, with a stirring performance to make all, over, importantly, today’s course and distance. Yet again, Gary Moore’s Winning Supreme looked the “fly in the ointment”, with sufficient early speed and purpose to keep out All From Scrap, especially with the short run before turning, and enable the promising resumer Art D’Amour to obtain the “run of the race”. Watch as the evergreen and irrepressible Robert Thompson purposefully (?) dawdles from the barrier. Victoire on Winning Supreme assumes the lead and relaxes in the absence of any outside bid. Thompson then catches the Frenchman napping, darting around the field to take it up, thereby nullifying one challenger and exposing Art D’Amour, forcing him to “face the breeze”. Alas, such brilliant strategy was all in vain as Art D’Amour announced himself as a future Sydney Saturday Metropolitan winner in the most impressive Provincial performance of the year.

My pre-race approach to the two events was as one-dimensional as Ms King’s. The “King of the Coalfields” had snapped me to attention, reminiscent of Bowman and Dye employing similar tactics down the back straight at Canterbury. Top-notch adds value!

Video footage courtesy of RacingNSW 

Today’s Wyong programme is to be conducted with the moveable rail in the “True” position. Thursday morning’s precipitation has been augmented by subsequent irrigation, and this should ensure rails dwelling to be slightly inferior, with wide draws best placed to enjoy the anticipated mildly-velodrome effect.

The past eight days have seen five provincial fixtures. Small wonder, then, at today’s anorexic offering. Nonetheless, my interest was piqued by the 4.25pm sixth, a Class 2 starting from the end of the chute; i.e. 1350m. Permit me to analyse all bar the despised Opera Rose, in market order (@9am):

BOGIE [$3] – Made a winning debut at the NJC meeting transferred to Scone twelve months ago, since then he’s been an under-achiever; a recent victory at Nowra and three provincial rear-half finishes resolutely condemning him as country class. He does carry a gun in T Clark, but also the least preferred barrier.

BRIGHT FUTURE [$3.5] – Tradesman-like performer who likes to make all, and drawn the ideal leader’s barrier, the outside. Aside from his inside marble last start, he was primed and found wanting. Bottom line; competitive but exposed.

DRILL MASTER [$6] Team Hawkes cast-off who debuts for the low percentage N Mayfield-Smith stable after three regional Victorian runs back. The market seems to have overlooked the yard change.

SILENT DREAM [$10] Local mare who has caught my eye working hard in two recent Beaumont runs, especially last start where after pressing on to shade the lead, she fought bravely down the running. T Huet replaces B McDougall and I recommend her to you:

ANOTHER LARGA [$11] Home track resumer who broke through with the blinkers fitted at today’s track and distance. He worked in a fast run city race before a short spell, has trialled in a slick heat, returns with his winning gear, and his rider is no worse than third ranked on today’s card. I’ve marked him dangerous.

BAROQUE GIRL [$11] Resuming after graduating to the staying distances at the end of last campaign. Her trials indicate a dour return

HOUDINI HAL [$15] Another course and distance maiden winner who has not been a factor twice since. He did draw the slow lane last start at Goulburn and has trialled twice in the interim. I’m wary but suspect he’s a talent-free zone.

The modern day Kembla Grange bears scant resemblance to my earliest memory dating back thirty years:

Today’s programme is conducted with the rail in the 7m position, last used on July 16^th. On that occasion leaders and rails dwellers were in the ascendancy, the only time such an advantage was afforded the entire winter.

The Wallerathon

[1.09pm] The Chris Waller stable has stacked the mile maiden with 4 of the 9 starters. Nonetheless, Arabian and Prince Morpheus appear scratching for form, while Mozart’s Work and Nothing Box emanate from a poor reference at Kembla’s most recent meeting a fortnight back. Perhaps Mozart’s Work may improve from a wide draw, but the favourite LOUD ENOUGH has the right form and the draw to make all at his 3^rd run back after stepping sharply from 1200m to 1600m and drawing unfavourably inside last start.

Twelve months ago the curtain came down on the Broadmeadow course proper with the running of the “battler’s” carnival leg, conducted on the Saturday following Friday’s Cup meeting.

The opener on 2015’s Saturday card fell away to 5 starters in a Class 2 over 1400m, 4 mares and a gelding. All 5 were last-start winners. The roughie of the field, Ruling Queen, was driven to the lead from her death-seat in-running position, and held the others at bay. Last matched price on the exchange was $19. Her lead-up was victory in a Kempsey Class 1 over 1450m.

Fast forward a year and the nightcap on battler’s day was a Class 2 over 1350m, The Beaumont inner track’s maximum back straight distance. On this occasion the race was restricted to fillies and mares, and only one contestant was a last-start victor, the roughie Lady Corelli, a narrow winner of a Kempsey Class 1 over 1450m. Matched at “the off” at $80, her rider Jeff Penza seized the initiative, driving the mare to the lead. Lady Corelli “made all” staving off the strongly fancied local Clevedon Bay in a gritty display.

I’m proud to say that my Beaumont Assessments suggested backing Lady Corelli, as shown below

In my pre-race study, I was unfamiliar with Lady Corelli, as her career had been restricted to country events. However, I had noted in processing recent results, that the runner-up, Mosaytion, had won since. I use and recommend the Ratings2Win database, so analysis of subsequent performances is but one-click away:

Yes, Mosaytion had won off his runner-up performance, and the favourite, Lippy and Pearls, had also won her next run. Furthermore, the 5^th and 6^th horses had placed at their next starts.

My interest in this lowly Kempsey race was seriously piqued after Lady Corelli’s brave performance. Who, I wondered, is Jeewan, the 4^th placegetter in this now infamous event, and when is he stepping out next.

Again, a single click in my trusty R2W shows:

Jeewan is a maiden 4yo who began his career with Hayes and Dabernig, soon migrated to south-east Queensland, and is now based at Newcastle, in the care of Grant Marshall, of Slots fame. His Kempsey 4^th was his first run for his new trainer and at his next start Jeewan will be second-up in his second preparation, an ideal scenario.

Racing&Sports Horseform is another handy reference point, on this occasion, informing me if Jeewan is an acceptor in an upcoming race:

He is set to run in a mile Class 1 on Monday September 19 in what appears a thick race on paper, to be conducted on sodden ground.

We await the denouement of this tale with bated breath.

@justideal

Illawarra Intimations 10^th September 2016

Kembla Grange backs up today with the rail pushed out to the 5m position which suits on-pacers best kept away from the rail

The Golden Rose Connection

[1.39pm] Five years ago to the day, the impressive Manawanui took out the Golden Rose after a dashing display by Glyn Schofield. Ten days later #3 ROGUE MISSILE was born, eventually taking up residency in the same yard as the illustrious Golden Rose winner. Now a 5yo, he has only had 2 starts to date in one preparation. Issues aside, every public appearance has indicated pace commensurate with Metropolitan class and the short course at Kembla today looks tailor-made. His rivals appear unconvincing, Call The Coppers fell short at Scone recently, while the unraced filly Diddums has been flat out in her home track trials.

WALLER MARKS INTENTIONS WITH COUNTERATTACK

By Nicholas Coleman

As keen form students we often seek gear changes as a sign of intent. Sometimes intention is associated with the adjustment of gear, other times it calls for horses resuming with their favourite piece. Waller had many punters questioning Counterattack’s readiness for his pipe opener in the Eskimo Prince last preparation, when the blinkers were removed for the preference of winkers. Tomorrow, Counterattack heads to the Theo Marks Stakes with his blinkers on and a good sign the stable is feeling bullish about his prospects.

It’s hard not to get excited about Counterattack’s winning claims when closely exploring his profile. He had a similar preparation to ‘glamour girl’ Winx before she went on to win the 2015 edition of the race last year. She had a productive autumn campaign, followed by a life changing trip north of the border, to now racing’s superstar status.  Further evidence of the Queensland winter being the ‘trip of a lifetime’ is supported by Hauraki’s win last week in the Tramway.

Many attentive trial scouts would have been impressed by the latest trial of Counterattack.  It brought back memories of Good Project’s trial this time last year. Free striding in the lead and full of running.  Amazingly Good Project went on to produce a stellar campaign that season and was crowned a group 1 winner on our western shores.

Furthermore, the conditions of tomorrow’s contest have a tendency to favour those who seek weight relief from the handicapper. Races of such nature are designed for horses still climbing on an upward spiral, not yet to have found their true rating. Both Southern Legend and Counterattack have further improvement beckoning, and early price assessors have acted accordingly.

It appears if value is to be found, it lies within the two ‘up and comers’ just mentioned. A strong case can be made for Counterattack to be priced favourite ahead of his fellow combatant.  They have met once before on the same battle ground back in the early autumn. On that day the market expectation were slightly in Counterattack’s favour. The 2 metre rail on that occasion favoured those sucking up and pinching ground, hence the inside draws exceeding expectations throughout the afternoon.  Southern Legend was gifted clear running in the straight after saving energy in transit. Counterattack on the other hand was a victim of barrier 11, trying to state his claims in the three wide running line. He was also without his head gear; tomorrow it will not be left in his locker.

@racinggosspel

Hawkesbury today backs up from a damp Saturday meet, presenting near-dry conditions with the rail out 4m. This should assist runners to scout wide in the straight to locate superior ground near the outside running rail. Horses with middle draws are best placed for this strategy.

City trainers Barred!

[3.55pm] Hawkesbury programs usually feature a maiden restricted to provincial and country trained horses, and Race 6 today is such an event. #12 POET’S ADVOCATE worked hard outside the lead in a similar race on Rowley Mile day at his first run on his home track, and is poised with Tommy Berry aboard to gain a sweet run. #7 TRIPLE HILL is another local who has shown talent in two country appearances and replacing Gordon Yorke’s apprentice Eric Cheung with Glyn Schofield seems a positive rider change of the highest magnitude. Manhattan Drive found a fast lane at his most recent run and looks well found, while Barricade emanates from a potent Gosford maiden but lacked any significant participation in the event. Lakshme is one to oppose after five consecutive 1100m runs on his home track of Gosford, most recently with the coveted inside on “one-lane-highway-day”.